The first step to changing your financial future

In 2016, I was drowning in debt. Between me and my wife, we had 3 Credit cards, well in the red, 2 personal loans, 2 overdraft facilities well in the red, a car loan and we just had our first child. Our bad debt stood at about R350 000. We also had 2 home loans, but let’s call that “good debt”.

We were about to find out that my parents were in no position to retire at 65, with just 5 years to go and there was a genuine chance that I will have to help them financially in the near future. We would have carried on living from month to month for years to come, but then the worst thing possible happened to someone drowning in debt… and that changed my life.

Today (October 2022) I am in more control of my finances than ever been… even after quitting my job and have not yet applied for a new permanent job, 12 months later. I am free of the burdens of financial stress. I understand my financial situation, being in control of my spending and understanding the limits of my income. I don’t have any bad debt, I have a diversified investment portfolio and I earn a passive income through four streams, with another running at a loss, but hoping to turn it around soon. It’s not a big income yet, but it is a step in the right direction. In my first post, I talked about how I believe that middle-class, salary-earning South Africans are in real danger of falling into poverty over time. Creating passive income streams is the way to counter this.

The graph shows how quickly your expenses catch up with your salary when you get a 5% salary increase, but your expenses increase by 7% year-on-year, if you spend 90% of your income in year 1.

For most of my life, I’ve thought of myself as a problem solver and more than adequate at mathematics. Unfortunately, this did not reflect in my finances. My finances reflected ignorance and someone detached from reality. I was very lucky that I was slapped in the face with a reality check not once, but three times between 2016 and 2017. If it was not for this, I probably would never have turned my finances and simultaneously my life around.

In essence, I had terrible financial habits and although I wouldn’t accept it myself back then, I was lacking financial literacy. I had no idea how much money I would need to be financially independent and with time I learned that this was not an isolated case.

Financial Independence according to Wikipedia is the status of having enough income or wealth sufficient to pay one’s living expenses for the rest of one’s life without having to be employed or dependent on others. Income earned without having to exchange your time for it is commonly referred to as passive income. Growing your passive income over time to eventually cover all your expenses, will make you financially independent. I prefer the term financial independence to retirement, as we have an age correlated to retirement; even an image of someone well into their life. Grey hair with wrinkles; an older version of ourselves, but a happier one due to the freedom of retirement.

I get the idea that a lot of people think that they will retire at age 65 no matter what. Somewhere in their life, they put money away towards a pension or provident fund and therefore they can stop working at 65. Unfortunately, this is where the very big misunderstanding starts. This is why I like to refer to such a time as financial independence. It can happen much earlier than 65, but due to our very bad financial planning it usually happens way after 65 and in most cases never.

There are very easy calculations that you can do to guestimate how much money you need to become financially independent:

For example, take the monthly income you feel you would require and multiply it by 300. It is not a perfect solution, since many factors would influence the result, but it is good enough to set your thinking in motion to where you should aim.

If you and your partner feel you need R40 000 a month to live comfortably:

R40 000 X 300 = R12 000 000

Why did we do this? In the financial industry, they talk about the 4% rule. This is where you live on only 4% of your capital in an attempt to preserve your capital since you don’t know how long you will live. Therefore 4% of R12 000 000 equals R480 000 per year or R40 000 per month. Why do we use 4%? In order to keep the value of our capital over time, we need to keep up with inflation. South Africa’s inflation target band is between 3% and 6%. Unfortunately, we have been closer to the upper side of this band in recent history and therefore if you can grow your capital around 10% annually, you can only draw 4% annually to keep the value of your capital.

What is important to understand, is that the R12 000 000 is in today’s value. You will have to adjust your target every year to stay with the rising cost of living.

What even more people miss is how long it takes to save up this sort of money. This is not an amount accumulated by putting a few hundred rands into a savings account at your bank. This takes careful planning for many years. My Financial Planner gave me an example that shook me to the core. The example he used ignores inflation and interest for ease of concept. Or if you want to be more practical, you live in a country where inflation is 6% and the bank you save your money, gives you 9%, but after taxes, your real return is 6%. Inflation and interest balance out.

If you are 45 years old and plan to put money away until you are 65 (for 20 years), and plan to have saved up money to pay you R40 000 per month for 20 years (until 85). How much do you have to put away?

 

The answer is R40 000 per month for 20 years. Since it is the same timeline for saving and spending, the same amount is required. 

What if you double the amount of time you give yourself to save for retirement and you start at 25?

You will need to put away half of what you required if you only saved for 20 years, thus R20 000. It is still scary. Who can save R20 000 of their salary in their 20s. Fortunately, there are a few things that can help. Sound financial advice, the maximising of tax incentives, the increase of your earning potential over time, time in the market and compound interest can make the load a little lighter, provided that your interest beats inflation. But don’t think you can put R1 000 a month away at the age of 45 and reach your goal.

 

So, what do YOU need to save monthly to reach that goal? This is a slightly trickier equation since there are some unknowns, like your current age, your goal financial independence age, your goal income at retirement, what inflation will be over that period and what interest your investment will enjoy over that period., but using a professional that sees you on a regular basis to do active planning and make adjustments where necessary can help you reach that goal. 

 

Many people, unfortunately, have not come to the realisation that they could find themselves at 65, wanting to retire, but not in the position to do so. That is why I strongly suggest that you talk to an expert to understand where you stand with regard to your financial goals.

 

The first step to turning your life, let it be financially, physically or mentally, you have to realise and acknowledge that you are on the wrong path. If you don’t know it, you won’t change it. Alcoholics or drug addicts don’t change their lifestyle, simply because they think they are in control and can change things around when necessary, but they can’t see their pitfalls or blindspot. They see what they want to see.


Admitting that we are on the wrong path is probably the most difficult step, but it is only one phone call or email away. Most financial planners do a free financial needs analysis. By playing open cards with them, you can find out what is required to get back on track with your financial goals. If you don’t have a financial planner, click here and I will put you in contact with someone.

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If you think education is expensive, wait until you see how much ignorance costs in the 21st century.

 – Barack Obama

In a world where it takes little for a teenager to give advice on which stock to invest in to become a millionaire, it is really important to be careful who you take advice from. “Fake it, ‘till you make it” is every other side hustle’s motto. Why would you take advice from someone if they can’t prove their qualifications? 

Would you allow a lawyer to give advice on a worrying heart condition? Would you allow a doctor to give advice on a legal matter? So why do you let someone other than a financial professional give you financial advice? Is financial independence or earning an income when you are not able to work anymore not important?

Corruption is Country Cancer

One late Thursday afternoon in November 2022, a maintenance contractor reaches out underneath a rotating shaft to unscrew a steel plug, smaller than a coffee mug. The removal allows lubrication oil, vital for the smooth operation of one of the eight turbines at Camden power station to operate, to leak freely from the very part it must protect. Within minutes the overheated bearings come to a smoking halt. This act of sabotage will most likely enable another inflated contract for the corrupt repair company.+

Read the full story here.

If you think this is bizarre, read here:

Eskom paid R80,000 for a pair of knee guards that cost R320

At Builders Warehouse

Eskom paid R200,000 for a wooden-handled mop which costs less than R100

At most stores

Eskom paid R26.00 per single one-ply toilet paper roll, which costs R3.99

At Checkers

Eskom paid R51 per black refuse bag, which costs R2.99

At Checkers

Article by Daily Investor

If thus didn’t shock you, replace the word “Eskom” with “Taxpayers”.

Electricity prices have gone up by 550% in the 14 years illustrated in the graph below. How much did your salary increase in the last 14 years?

Average annual electricity tariff hikes vs inflation. Source: Anton Eberhard (@AntonEberhard)

Over and above the increase in our electricity bills, we have further bailed out Eskom from a complete blackout due to crippling debt. Unfortunately, corruption does not end with Eskom.

In 2020, then finance minister, Tito Mboweni, confirmed that the cumulative bailouts for state-owned enterprises since 2000 were R187,4bn to date.

This is money that gets recovered from taxes. You and I are indirectly paying so that someone can make a 200 000% profit on a mop or a 25 000% profit on a pair of knee guards. If this does not upset you, you are better than me.

Years ago, South African SOE’s were putting money into the overall state kitty. For the last 20 years or so, taxpayers have had to keep State Owned Enterprises afloat. Did you know that Eskom won the Financial Times’ Power Company of the Year at the annual Global Energy Awards in 2001? By December 2022, Eskom’s debt stood at R422 billion. It takes a special effort to take down South Africa’s once-world-class power utility in such a quick space of time. 

At the end of March 2023, National Treasury announced that the government will provide debt relief to Eskom amounting to R254 billion over the next 3 financial years. Where do you think government will get this money?

The government has already increased fuel levies and VAT in recent years to try and fill the holes of corruption. Both contribute greatly to the eventual prices of goods and services. Next time you buy food or clothes, think for a second about how fuel and VAT affected the price of the respective item. Was it transported at any point in its cycle from being in its natural form to when you bought it? Was VAT paid on importing the article or on any material it is packaged in?

Corruption is a massive contributor to inflation; the middle-class’ greatest enemy. You can also thank inflation and therefore corruption for the recent hikes in the prime lending rate. The South African Reserve Bank pushes the repo rate up to control inflation. How does this work? When the lending rate is low, people tend to spend more money, which means that demand is high. When demand is high, product prices gets pushed up. When the lending rate goes up, demand slows down, which in theory will force prices and also inflation down. This is the basics of an economy. Unfortunately, corruption adds another dimension to this equation. When tenders do not get awarded to the best and most price-efficient contractor, due to corruption, the mitigating measures to stem high inflation get nullified.

In the title of this article I use the metaphor to implicate that corruption is like a cancer for a country.

Cancer can go unnoticed for a long time, but when it gets detected, it can be too late to treat.

Cancer is a disease in which some of the body’s cells grow uncontrollably and spread to other parts of the body. Cancer can start anywhere in the body with trillions of cells.

With early detection and treatment, cancer can be controlled and even cured. But ignoring sure telltale signs can have devastating effects.

In the same way, corruption can go undetected or ignored, purposefully or through ignorance. When the real effect of corruption gets realised it has spread to such an extent that key players in the supply chain or in the policing system are already caught up in the claws of the main benefactors. In some cases, the co-operatives are not necessarily willing, but threatened to such an extent that they do have a choice. Or the bribes that they receive are simply too lucrative to waive.

In 2021, University of the Free State chancellor, Bonang Mohale gave the following sickening results: “It is broadly estimated that there was a whopping R1.5 trillion lost to our country between just 2014 and 2019. This is not to mention that some of our elected leaders continue to steal from the poor, hungry, sick and dying.”

Have you ever seen the Netflix series “Narcos”? For me, this was such an eye-opener on how a drug cartel captured a country, from the police to the government and then made the people believe that the drug lords are the good guys. The amount of corruption, whistleblowers and good guys that get assassinated, made me wonder how far South Africa is away from that.

I can’t help but feel, that the recent assassinations of politicians, whistleblowers and the attempt on the life of a recent CEO of Eskom that has laid bare the corruption and sabotage at Eskom, is the direct influence from the kingpins that gets the biggest monetary benefit from the deals mentioned at the beginning of this article.

If you have never watched Narcos, I can really recommend it for the brutally honest telling of how the greed of the drug lords leads to thousands of deaths, and the destruction of communities and eventually cities for the enrichment of a few. It opened my eyes to the lengths that the benefactors would go through to ensure their riches.

Just be warned that it comes with a warning for sensitive viewers.

The idea of this post is not to point fingers at anybody, but to rather open the eyes of salary earners to the destructive nature of corruption of their own wealth.

We all know the story of Hansie Cronje. Once the darling of South African cricket. I think we all accept that Hansie was not a bad guy. He just had one bad trait. His love for money. He was lured in slowly, and before he could get out, he was tangled in the sly web of match-fixing.

Corruption will always be around. In recent years the man on the street has come to understand that our leaders whom we once backed to grow our economy, are now the ones caught up in the ever-growing snowball of corruption. I don’t think that all people caught up in corruption, planned to get involved. They were just the connection. The syndicates; the real benefactors, would not allow anything to stop them from getting their slice of the pie.

So how does corruption contribute to inflation and ultimately the pockets of the salary-earning middle class?

Corruption led to loadshedding through money ill-directed at procuring products at inflated prices that could have been used for maintenance. It was also caused by appointing incapable contractors to work at exorbitant prices, leading to rework and longer downtime. Eventually, Eskom ran into so much debt, that the only way to keep the lights on, sometimes, was to gather bailout money from the taxpayers. Add to that, that SA is running out of taxpayers, and you should realize that the time to plan your finances with professional help is now.

As a friend said the other day. South Africa is at the mercy of the good religious values of their people to triumph in the long run, but it takes only a few corrupt officials in strategic places to bring our country to its knees. One rotten apple spoils the barrel.
 

The middle class will always bear the largest brunt of the effects of corruption through taxes and levies. If it doesn’t affect you directly, you will eventually be affected by the rising cost of living, or inflation. You might as well accept it, get in the game and start playing it. The South African Reserve Bank’s inflation goal is between 3-6%. Inflation, as I write this, is hovering around 7%, which means that your investment needs to outperform 7% after tax. Here is a graph that illustrates how a saving of R3 000 a month can grow in relative terms if you can beat inflation by various percentages.

     

In the first column (1%), we look at the scenario where you get 8% on your returns and only outperform inflation by 1%. You should be able to achieve this with a fund with a decent track record.

In the second column (5%), we see a scenario where you outperform inflation by 5%. This can be achieved in an investment with 8% returns and when the lower inflation goal is achieved by SARB. Or in an investment that outperforms our current inflation by 5%. An investment that gives returns of 12% after tax is rare.

In the third column (10%), we see a scenario where your portfolio outperforms inflation by 10%.  This can be achieved in an investment with 13% returns and when the lower inflation goal is achieved by SARB. Or in an investment that outperforms our current inflation by 10%, therefore 17% after tax. This is very rare, but possible with good financial planning, taking advantage of tax incentives and staying in the market for a long period.

The first objective of this illustration is to show that the higher inflation is, the more difficult it is to save for retirement. The second objective was to show the advantages of starting early and getting good professional advice.

If we look at the last row, we can see the interest that was accumulated over 40 years. At 1%

Your interest over the 40 year period is only 22%. If you are able to beat inflation by 5% consistently over 40 years, your interest is more than double the money that you physically invested. And if you can beat inflation with more than 10% over 40 years, your interest earned will be more than 10 times the payments that you made over the period.

Every percentage of inflation makes it more difficult to save for retirement and corruption is contributing in a big way towards our soaring inflation.

Corruption is deeply embedded in our country. Like cancer, it is not a quick fix to get rid of it. It is a stubborn weed that is difficult to get rid of completely. High inflation is most likely here to stay. You can use it as an excuse to not do anything or it can be your reason to do something to counter it.

What can we do about this? Other than the obvious, fight it tooth and nail, there are certain habits that you can adopt to limit the effect of inflation. This is by educating ourselves about how we can plan our finances to still beat inflation when investing. Do you have a plan? Are you invested in your plan? Excuse the pun. Or do you stand on the side, blame others for your problems and put your hopes in faith that something or someone else will save you? How often has standing on the sidelines accomplished anything?